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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
WL

Norwich
0 - 1
Watford


Gibbs (18'), Hanley (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Issouf Bayo (86')
Ngakia (4'), Morris (49'), Sierralta (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Reading
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Watford

Such has been each club's recent form that no-one would be surprised to see another defeat for either team. However, we feel that they may err on the side of caution, resulting in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWatford
49.84% (-0.343 -0.34) 25.67% (0.061 0.06) 24.48% (0.28 0.28)
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.74% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)75.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.155 -0.16)21.59% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.234 -0.23)54.68% (0.231 0.23)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.91% (0.248 0.25)37.09% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.12% (0.246 0.25)73.87% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.84%
    Watford 24.48%
    Draw 25.67%
Norwich CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Reading
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Norwich
Monday, December 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Norwich
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-2 Watford
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Hull City
Sunday, December 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Watford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-0 Reading
Tuesday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship


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