Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Nottingham Forest
38.55%	28.77%	32.68%

Both teams to score 45.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.76%

61.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.83%

81.18%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21%

30.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.94%

67.06%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37%

34.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.65%

71.35%

Score Analysis

Derby County 38.55%

Nottingham Forest 32.68%

Draw 28.76%

Derby County	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.55%	1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.76%	0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.23% Total : 32.68%