With Derby proving hard to beat on home turf and Preston having little left to play for, we are backing the Rams to give their survival hopes a boost with a hard-fought win. Wayne Rooney's side have shown that they should never be written off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
43.68%	27.93%	28.39%

Both teams to score 45.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.38%

59.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.06%

79.94%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.89%

27.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.5%

62.5%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63%

37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.22%

73.78%

Score Analysis

Derby County 43.68%

Preston North End 28.39%

Draw 27.92%

Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.88% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.39%