The two sides meet with contrasting levels of confidence, and we back the Bluebirds to continue their improvement. O'Neill will feel that his side need a victory to salvage their season and for him to gain some favour back in Staffordshire, but we expect them to fall just short given their lack of momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
34.92%	28.44%	36.64%

Both teams to score 46.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.13%

59.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86%

80.14%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62%

32.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11%

68.89%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73%

31.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37%

67.63%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 34.91%

Stoke City 36.64%

Draw 28.43%

Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.91%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.43%	0-1 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.64%