SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
28.55% ( 0.41) | 24.88% ( 0.19) | 46.57% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% ( -0.57) | 47.7% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( -0.52) | 69.89% ( 0.52) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( 0.01) | 30.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.21% ( 0.01) | 66.79% ( -0.02) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.49) | 20.53% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( -0.77) | 53.04% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.55% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.57% |
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