SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
41.72% ( -0.86) | 25.64% ( -0.11) | 32.63% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( 0.75) | 49.23% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( 0.67) | 71.29% ( -0.67) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( -0.1) | 23.42% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.58% ( -0.14) | 57.42% ( 0.14) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( 1.01) | 28.54% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% ( 1.24) | 64.33% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.63% |
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