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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
SL

Watford
2 - 0
Swansea

Gray (56'), Success (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
45.81%27.14%27.05%
Both teams to score 47.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51%57.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71%78.29%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26%59.74%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07%36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28%73.72%
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.8%
    Swansea City 27.05%
    Draw 27.14%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.8%
2-0 @ 8.86%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.22%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 27.05%

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