SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 45.81% | 27.14% | 27.05% |
| Both teams to score 47.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.51% | 57.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% | 78.29% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% | 25.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.26% | 59.74% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% | 36.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.28% | 73.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% 2-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.79% Total : 27.05% |
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