Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shenzhen | Draw | Dalian Pro |
46.97% ( 0.25) | 24.95% ( 0.07) | 28.08% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.67% ( -0.48) | 48.32% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.53% ( -0.44) | 70.47% ( 0.44) |
Shenzhen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.38% ( -0.09) | 20.62% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.83% ( -0.14) | 53.17% ( 0.13) |
Dalian Pro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.76% ( -0.49) | 31.24% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.41% ( -0.57) | 67.59% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Shenzhen | Draw | Dalian Pro |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.97% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.08% |
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