Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
Result | ||
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Dalian Pro |
57.54% ( -0.14) | 21.67% ( 0.14) | 20.79% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.4% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.21% ( -0.69) | 40.79% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.82% ( -0.71) | 63.17% ( 0.7) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% ( -0.27) | 13.96% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.55% ( -0.53) | 41.44% ( 0.53) |
Dalian Pro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.71% ( -0.41) | 33.28% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.1% ( -0.45) | 69.9% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Dalian Pro |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 57.54% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.79% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: