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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 27
Sep 30, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
2 - 0
Dalian Pro

Yang (69'), Abreu (73')
Yang (35'), Yennaris (90+2'), Yennaris (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ting (8'), Yaopeng (45+2'), Peng (53'), Wang (75')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Dalian Pro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Changchun 1-1 Beijing Guoan
Friday, September 22 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 0-0 Shandong
Saturday, September 23 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawDalian Pro
57.54% (-0.136 -0.14) 21.67% (0.144 0.14) 20.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-0.688 -0.69)40.79% (0.684 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-0.707 -0.71)63.17% (0.703 0.7)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)13.96% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.55% (-0.531 -0.53)41.44% (0.527 0.53)
Dalian Pro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)33.28% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (-0.448 -0.45)69.9% (0.443 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 57.54%
    Dalian Pro 20.79%
    Draw 21.66%
Beijing GuoanDrawDalian Pro
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.196 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 57.54%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.66%
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.79%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Changchun 1-1 Beijing Guoan
Friday, September 22 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-1 Zhejiang
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 1-5 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, August 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-1 Sh. Shenhua
Saturday, August 19 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-0 Beijing Guoan
Wednesday, August 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 0-0 Shandong
Saturday, September 23 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 1-0 Dalian Pro
Sunday, September 17 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-0 Dalian Pro
Saturday, August 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 0-3 Henan
Saturday, August 19 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 2-1 Shenzhen
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 2-1 Dalian Pro
Wednesday, August 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League


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