SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Dalian Pro |
57.54% ( -0.14) | 21.67% ( 0.14) | 20.79% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.21% ( -0.69) | 40.79% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( -0.71) | 63.17% ( 0.7) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( -0.27) | 13.96% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.55% ( -0.53) | 41.44% ( 0.53) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( -0.41) | 33.28% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.1% ( -0.45) | 69.9% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 57.54% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.79% |
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