SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
30.37% ( -0.75) | 26.2% ( 0.18) | 43.43% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% ( -1) | 52.31% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% ( -0.86) | 74.01% ( 0.87) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -1.03) | 31.62% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( -1.2) | 68.03% ( 1.2) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.15) | 23.93% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( -0.22) | 58.15% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.37% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.43% |
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