Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
