Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
