SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 94.28%. A draw had a probability of 4.3% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 1.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-4 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.76%) and 0-5 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.02%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (0.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-4 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hebei | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
1.42% ( -0.06) | 4.3% ( -0.11) | 94.28% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 37.6% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 83.53% ( 0.19) | 16.47% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 67.12% ( 0.29) | 32.88% ( -0.29) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.23% ( -0.37) | 61.77% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.47% ( -0.18) | 91.53% ( 0.18) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.34% ( 0.04) | 1.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 91.54% ( 0.16) | 8.46% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hebei | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| Other @ 1.42% Total : 1.42% | 1-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 4.3% | 0-4 @ 12.05% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 11.76% 0-5 @ 9.88% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.05)0-6 @ 6.75% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 4.76% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.08)0-7 @ 3.95% ( 0.09)1-6 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)0-8 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)1-7 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)1-8 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)0-9 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.7% Total : 94.28% |
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