SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
38.31% ( -0.29) | 26.07% ( 0.04) | 35.61% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.16) | 50.55% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( -0.14) | 72.47% ( 0.15) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( -0.23) | 25.79% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( -0.32) | 60.74% ( 0.33) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( 0.08) | 27.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.21% ( 0.1) | 62.79% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.61% |
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