SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 11.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-3 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
11.42% ( -0) | 16.41% ( -0) | 72.17% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.25% ( -0.01) | 34.75% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.29% ( -0.01) | 56.71% ( 0) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.71% ( -0.01) | 41.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( -0.01) | 77.81% ( 0.01) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.59% ( -0) | 8.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.76% ( -0) | 29.24% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 3.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.07% 2-0 @ 1.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.23% 3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 11.42% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.41% | 0-2 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.78% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.77% 0-4 @ 5.43% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.81% 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.69% 1-5 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.11% 2-5 @ 1.05% 1-6 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.95% Total : 72.17% |
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