SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 10 | -11 | 6 |
| 13 | Hebei | 10 | -17 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.12%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chengdu Qianbao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hebei | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
12.8% ( 0.24) | 20.41% ( -0.23) | 66.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.34% ( 1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( 1.42) | 49.46% ( -1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( 1.26) | 71.5% ( -1.27) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.5% ( 1.27) | 48.49% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.41% ( 0.91) | 83.59% ( -0.91) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% ( 0.45) | 13.92% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.63% ( 0.88) | 41.36% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hebei | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 12.8% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.57) 0-2 @ 13.12% ( -0.33)1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 8.63% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.14)0-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.39% Total : 66.77% |
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