Chengdu Qianbao have stumbled into the new season, failing to win any of their opening five games. While they will be looking to exact revenge on Shenzhen, we predict the visitors will do just enough to force a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-1.39) 
1.39) 
