Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5

Jun 21, 2022 at 9.30am UK

Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
4 - 1
Shenzhen

Zhang (2', 60'), Dabao (52'), Ziming (88')
Wang (43'), Zou (47'), Memisevic (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Acheampong (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Shenzhen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Beijing Guoan 1-1 Shenzhen

Both teams have already hinted this campaign that they have the quality to maintain a title push, and that should make for a competitive fixture on Tuesday. Nevertheless, the side may also err on the side of caution, leading us to predict a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Shenzhen
30.76% ( -0.51)	24.82% ( -0.4)	44.41% ( 0.91)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.67% (

1.56)

46.32% (

-1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.38% (

1.45)

68.61% (

-1.45)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.67% (

0.44)

28.33% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.94% (

0.55)

64.05% (

-0.55)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

1.07)

20.92% (

-1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.36% (

1.64)

53.64% (

-1.64)

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 30.76%

Shenzhen 44.41%

Draw 24.82%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Shenzhen
1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.76%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.41%