SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
50.94% ( 0.04) | 25.95% ( 0.09) | 23.1% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.06% ( -0.46) | 55.94% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% ( -0.37) | 77.04% ( 0.38) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.17) | 22.02% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.66% ( -0.27) | 55.34% ( 0.27) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( -0.39) | 39.6% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% ( -0.36) | 76.28% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.4% Total : 23.1% |
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