SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Dalian Pro |
58.45% ( -0.27) | 24.23% ( 0.24) | 17.32% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.7% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.93% ( -0.83) | 56.06% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% ( -0.68) | 77.14% ( 0.68) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.42) | 19.04% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( -0.69) | 50.61% ( 0.69) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0.47) | 46.02% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.26% ( -0.37) | 81.74% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 1-0 @ 14.53% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.44% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.44% Total : 17.32% |
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