SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Wuhan |
37% ( -0.04) | 25.74% ( -0.04) | 37.26% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.15) | 49.01% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( 0.14) | 71.09% ( -0.14) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.04) | 25.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( 0.06) | 60.77% ( -0.06) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.12) | 25.66% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% ( 0.16) | 60.57% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Wuhan |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.26% |
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