SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Wuhan win it was 2-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 20.56% | 22.03% ( -0) | 57.4% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.23% ( 0) | 42.76% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.83% ( 0) | 65.17% ( -0) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0) | 34.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% | 71.36% ( 0) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.34% ( 0) | 14.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.18% ( 0) | 42.81% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 5.48% 1-0 @ 5.39% 2-0 @ 2.86% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.04% Total : 20.56% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 5.26% 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 9.36% 1-3 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.99% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 3.05% 0-4 @ 2.88% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.62% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.85% Total : 57.4% |
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