SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
37.03% ( 0.17) | 26.83% ( 0.12) | 36.14% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( -0.49) | 53.66% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( -0.41) | 75.16% ( 0.42) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.13) | 27.99% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -0.17) | 63.63% ( 0.17) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( -0.41) | 28.52% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( -0.51) | 64.3% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.14% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
