SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
48.48% ( 0.18) | 25.1% ( 0.05) | 26.41% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.82% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( -0.37) | 50.03% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -0.33) | 72% ( 0.33) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.08) | 20.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( -0.12) | 53.23% ( 0.12) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.38) | 33.43% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( -0.42) | 70.06% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.48% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.41% |
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