SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
41.2% ( 0.11) | 26.18% ( -0.16) | 32.62% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( 0.67) | 51.5% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( 0.58) | 73.31% ( -0.58) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.36) | 24.7% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.77% ( 0.5) | 59.23% ( -0.5) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( 0.37) | 29.67% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( 0.45) | 65.72% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.62% |
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