SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
24.84% ( -1.91) | 28.39% ( -1.12) | 46.77% ( 3.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.37% ( 1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.1% ( 2.43) | 62.9% ( -2.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.61% ( 1.73) | 82.39% ( -1.72) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% ( -0.32) | 41.91% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.64% ( -0.28) | 78.36% ( 0.29) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( 2.79) | 27.06% ( -2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% ( 3.5) | 62.43% ( -3.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -1.02) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.16% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 11.34% ( -1.07)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 14.82% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.62)1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.46)0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.56)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.46)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.23)Other @ 1.76% Total : 46.76% |
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