SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
45.49% ( 0.09) | 25.81% ( 0.02) | 28.71% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( -0.11) | 51.51% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( -0.1) | 73.31% ( 0.1) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( -0) | 22.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.79% ( -0.01) | 56.21% ( 0.02) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( -0.13) | 32.43% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.15) | 68.95% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.71% |
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