SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Dalian Pro |
47.73% ( -0.18) | 25.61% ( 0.1) | 26.66% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( -0.35) | 51.92% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( -0.31) | 73.67% ( 0.31) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -0.22) | 21.76% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.06% ( -0.34) | 54.94% ( 0.35) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.13) | 34.24% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% ( -0.14) | 70.94% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.66% |
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