Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kawasaki Frontale in this match.
