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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.22%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shanghai Port |
15.09% ( -0.44) | 24% ( -0.17) | 60.91% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 40.11% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.55% ( -0.09) | 58.45% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% ( -0.07) | 79.04% ( 0.07) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.53% ( -0.68) | 50.47% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.02% ( -0.47) | 84.98% ( 0.47) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( 0.19) | 19.02% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.41% ( 0.32) | 50.59% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.55% Total : 15.09% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.42% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 15.93% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 13.22% ( 0.21)1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 7.31% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 60.91% |
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