SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Zhejiang Professional win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shanghai Port |
24.73% ( 0.18) | 25.75% ( 0.21) | 49.52% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( -0.67) | 53.87% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( -0.56) | 75.33% ( 0.56) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% ( -0.21) | 36.94% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( -0.21) | 73.73% ( 0.2) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( -0.44) | 21.78% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.02% ( -0.68) | 54.98% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 24.73% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.16% Total : 49.51% |
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