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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11
Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Henan
3 - 0
Beijing Guoan

Dourado (9'), Zhong (41'), Karanga (90')
Mierzejewski (61'), Sunjic (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dabao (4'), Chengdong (86')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.

Result
Henan Songshan LongmenDrawBeijing Guoan
39.13% (0.11 0.11) 26.48% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 34.39% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.43% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62% (-0.163 -0.16)52.37% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (-0.141 -0.14)74.06% (0.143 0.14)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.19% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)61.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)28.97% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)64.86% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Henan Songshan Longmen 39.13%
    Beijing Guoan 34.39%
    Draw 26.47%
Henan Songshan LongmenDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 39.13%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Henan 6-2 Changchun
Monday, July 11 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 2-1 Guangzhou City
Thursday, July 7 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 0-1 Henan
Sunday, July 3 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 2-0 Henan
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 0-2 Henan
Friday, June 24 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 0-0 Henan
Monday, June 20 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shenzhen 2-1 Beijing Guoan
Monday, July 11 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-0 Meizhou Hakka
Thursday, July 7 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 1-2 Beijing Guoan
Sunday, July 3 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 1-1 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, June 25 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 4-1 Shenzhen
Tuesday, June 21 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League


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