Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 5 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 5 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Guangzhou | 5 | -8 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Shandong Taishan | 5 | 6 | 12 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 5 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Changchun Yatai | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
29.19% ( -0.3) | 25.95% ( -0.07) | 44.86% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 52.15% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.16% ( 0.13) | 51.84% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.4% ( 0.12) | 73.6% ( -0.11) |
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( -0.15) | 32.24% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.27% ( -0.17) | 68.73% ( 0.17) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% ( 0.23) | 23.03% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.15% ( 0.34) | 56.85% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.86% |
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