Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10

Jul 11, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre

Shenzhen
2 - 1
Beijing Guoan

Lin (57'), Mincheng (85')
Yuanyi (30'), Shinar (31'), Yongpo (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wang (28')
Memisevic (40'), Yang (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Beijing Guoan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shenzhen 1-2 Beijing Guoan

While Shenzhen will be looking to build on their victory over Cangzhou Mighty Lions, next up is a rampant Beijing Guoan side who are unbeaten since the league's opening weekend. The Imperial Guards are unbeaten in nine straight games against the hosts and we are backing them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Beijing Guoan
39.57% ( 0.72)	26.36% ( -0.14)	34.07% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.07% (

0.49)

51.93% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33% (

0.43)

73.67% (

-0.42)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

0.62)

25.74% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

0.84)

60.68% (

-0.83)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

-0.12)

28.95% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17% (

-0.15)

64.83% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 39.57%

Beijing Guoan 34.07%

Draw 26.35%

Shenzhen	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.57%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.07%