SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
34.47% ( 3.18) | 26.89% ( -0.33) | 38.64% ( -2.86) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( 1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.97% ( 1.94) | 54.03% ( -1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.54% ( 1.6) | 75.46% ( -1.61) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( 3.13) | 29.73% ( -3.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% ( 3.64) | 65.79% ( -3.64) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.66) | 27.23% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( -0.87) | 62.65% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.58)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.47)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.47% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.64)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.82)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.42)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.64% |
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