SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 79.73%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Hebei |
79.73% ( 0.77) | 13.26% ( -0.39) | 7% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.55% ( 0.41) | 34.44% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.63% ( 0.46) | 56.36% ( -0.46) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.23% ( 0.24) | 6.77% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75% ( 0.65) | 25% ( -0.65) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.49% ( -0.72) | 50.51% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.99% ( -0.5) | 85.01% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Hebei |
| 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.2)1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 79.72% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.66% Total : 13.26% | 0-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.52% Total : 7% |
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