Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shenzhen | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
12.84% ( 0.09) | 19.16% ( 0.21) | 67.99% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 48.39% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.93% ( -0.73) | 44.07% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.55% ( -0.72) | 66.45% ( 0.71) |
Shenzhen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.94% ( -0.33) | 45.05% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.02% ( -0.26) | 80.97% ( 0.26) |
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.06% ( -0.29) | 11.93% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.69% ( -0.63) | 37.31% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Shenzhen | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
1-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.84% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.16% | 0-2 @ 12.14% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 4.57% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.35% Total : 67.99% |
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