SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
52.49% ( -0.36) | 24.69% ( -0.02) | 22.82% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.6% ( 0.46) | 51.4% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( 0.4) | 73.21% ( -0.39) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( 0.03) | 19.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% ( 0.05) | 51.46% ( -0.05) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.68% ( 0.62) | 37.32% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.9% ( 0.61) | 74.1% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.48% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.82% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
