SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
45.42% ( -0.09) | 26.55% ( -0.03) | 28.03% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% ( 0.17) | 54.8% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% ( 0.14) | 76.1% ( -0.13) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( 0.03) | 24.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% ( 0.04) | 58.32% ( -0.04) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( 0.18) | 34.68% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.59% ( 0.19) | 71.41% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 28.03% |
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