SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 6 | -9 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
55.02% ( -1.32) | 24.82% ( 0.5) | 20.15% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 46.57% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( -0.9) | 54.7% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( -0.75) | 76.02% ( 0.75) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.85) | 19.83% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( -1.4) | 51.92% ( 1.4) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% ( 0.38) | 41.91% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.64% ( 0.33) | 78.36% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.62% Total : 55.01% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.15% |
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