Cangzhou have struggled in front of goal of late, and we can see that trend continuing here. That said, Meizhou have not been particularly great in attack either, but we fancy them to scrape a narrow win come the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
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