SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
54.85% ( -0.14) | 23.35% ( 0.14) | 21.8% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( -0.57) | 46.98% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( -0.54) | 69.23% ( 0.54) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( -0.26) | 17% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.87% ( -0.46) | 47.13% ( 0.46) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( -0.31) | 35.82% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( -0.32) | 72.6% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.85% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.8% |
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