SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
48.3% ( -0.29) | 24.65% ( 0.12) | 27.05% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( -0.38) | 47.71% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( -0.35) | 69.9% ( 0.35) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -0.27) | 19.8% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.12% ( -0.44) | 51.87% ( 0.44) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.07) | 31.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( -0.08) | 68.12% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.05% |
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