SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
72.15% ( 0.45) | 16.84% ( -0.26) | 11.01% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.89% ( 0.73) | 38.1% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.63% ( 0.78) | 60.37% ( -0.78) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.74% ( 0.29) | 9.26% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.71% ( 0.7) | 31.28% ( -0.7) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% ( 0.16) | 44.27% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% ( 0.13) | 80.35% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.05% Total : 72.15% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.84% | 0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 11.01% |
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