SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
67.89% ( 0.18) | 17.97% ( -0.03) | 14.13% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.65% ( -0.18) | 35.34% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.63% ( -0.2) | 57.37% ( 0.2) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.46% ( -0) | 9.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.05% ( -0.01) | 31.94% ( 0.02) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% ( -0.31) | 37.54% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.68% ( -0.31) | 74.32% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.4% Total : 67.89% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.14% |
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