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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
33.6% ( 0.06) | 27.42% ( 0.05) | 38.98% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.76% ( -0.18) | 56.24% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.72% ( -0.15) | 77.28% ( 0.15) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% ( -0.05) | 31.4% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.23% ( -0.06) | 67.77% ( 0.06) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( -0.14) | 28.09% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% ( -0.19) | 63.76% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.6% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.98% |
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