SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Chengdu Qianbao win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
61.04% ( 0.11) | 22.92% ( 0.49) | 16.04% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( -2.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% ( -2.82) | 53.16% ( 2.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% ( -2.45) | 74.73% ( 2.45) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( -0.95) | 17.03% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.83% ( -1.71) | 47.17% ( 1.71) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.04% ( -2.46) | 45.96% ( 2.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.31% ( -1.98) | 81.69% ( 1.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 13.85% ( 1.07) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.58)2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.28)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.04% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.83)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.36% Total : 16.04% |
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