SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shenzhen |
61.88% ( -0.83) | 22.67% ( 0.43) | 15.45% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 44.33% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% ( -0.98) | 53.16% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% ( -0.84) | 74.73% ( 0.84) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( -0.62) | 16.74% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% ( -1.13) | 46.65% ( 1.13) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.24% ( -0.03) | 46.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.69% ( -0.03) | 82.31% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.7% Total : 61.87% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 15.45% |
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