Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 76.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 7.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.97%) and 3-0 (11.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
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