SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shenzhen |
34.32% ( 0.39) | 28.96% ( 0.03) | 36.72% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.95% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.29% ( -0.06) | 61.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.48% ( -0.05) | 81.52% ( 0.04) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( 0.24) | 33.73% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% ( 0.26) | 70.39% ( -0.26) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.3) | 32.16% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( -0.34) | 68.64% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.31% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.71% |
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