SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.4%) and 1-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Guangzhou City |
79.51% ( -1.56) | 13.58% ( 0.99) | 6.91% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 44.29% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.5% ( -2.65) | 36.5% ( 2.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.35% ( -2.95) | 58.65% ( 2.96) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.74% ( -0.87) | 7.26% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.7% ( -2.35) | 26.3% ( 2.35) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.75% ( -0.3) | 52.24% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.83% ( -0.2) | 86.16% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Guangzhou City |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.82)2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.33)5-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.43)5-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.62% Total : 79.5% | 1-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.58% Total : 13.58% | 0-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.35% Total : 6.91% |
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